Prediction & analysis

Time to threshold

Time to threshold is an estimate of how long a monitored channel will take to reach its alarm limit if its current trend continues.

Why it matters

It converts a measurement into a decision window. A threshold tells you a hazard has arrived; a time to threshold tells you roughly how long you have to prevent it arriving.

How it works

A trend line is fitted to a recent window of readings, usually by least squares. If the slope is positive and the limit is above the current value, the projected intersection gives the estimate.

Example

A channel at 400 rising at 10 units per minute with a limit of 700 yields an estimate of about thirty minutes.

In Alfa HazardX

Computed server-side from stored readings, where there is more history than the node holds.